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Arms and Future Wars


Article # : 17035 

Section : BOOK WORLD
Issue Date : 8 / 1990  1,703 Words
Author : Herbert E. Meyer
Herbert E. Meyer, a former vice chairman of the National Intelligence Council who reported directly to the director of Central Intelligence, is now a consultant and lecturer on intelligence. His new book, Real World Intelligence, provides an in-depth profile of what business intelligence is and how it works.

       ENGINES OF WAR
       James Adams
       New York: The Atlantic Monthly Press, 1990
       307 pp., $19.95
       
        The Cold War has been (or, if you're an optimist, was) a terribly damaging conflict. Countries lost their freedom, and countless people their lives. The Cold War cost the West an incalculable amount of money for defense against the communists.
       
        In Engines of War, James Adams, defense correspondent for the Sunday Times of London, reports an on another result of the Cold War, one that is likely to demand attention in the years to come: the enormous arsenals of weapons now extant. It is Adams' thesis that while the end of the Cold War is obviously a great thing, we are by no means out of danger. In coming years we will be vulnerable to injury from the weapons now in the hands of violent and irresponsible groups, along with the new weapons that the thriving arms industry plans to sell in the next few years to whoever has the money to purchase them.
       
        Looking back on communism's watershed year of 1989, Adams writes:
       
        To even the most cynical Cold War warriors all these changes are for the good. Anything, after all, that reduces tension between East and West should be welcomed. Less tension means less chance of nuclear war. Aside from reducing tension, this rapprochement should mean that fewer arms are required, but arms dealers are confident that this will not be so.
       
        Steady Arms Market Predicted
       
        Arms producers are predicting a fairly steady market for the next five years, which will be followed by a sharp increase as new weapons currently in the development stage reach an expanded market. It appears to them that the arms business remains relatively unaffected by the prospects of superpower peace. Conflict is taking different forms, from terrorism to more regional conflicts, and weapons will continue to be in demand.
       
        When Adams talks about arms producers, he means more than just those shady characters encountered in novels who manufacture weapons in unmarked buildings on the outskirts of town and meet their customers in sleazy bars or airport motels. He means Western governments as
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